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From: Carroll, Peter [mailto:peter.carroll@oliverwyman.com]
Sent: Friday, July 06, 2018 08:45 PM
To: Carroll, Peter
Cc: Jim Ryan; 'Greg Cukor' (gregcukor@netscape.net)
Subject: First Pursuit/Jackrabbit Race

 

OK, here’s the deal……the wind forecasts for tomorrow at 5pm are still inconsistent. Some models are saying 8-10 knots and others 2-3 knots.  The only reasonably consistent thing is that they all mostly agree that the wind will be out of the SE.  More or less.

 

So, here’s what I’ve done: I’ve selected 3 potential courses, 2 of which are in the standard PBSA course list - - Courses ‘F’ and ‘C’.  Plus I’ve made one up: Course ‘X’.  Course X would be Start-R20 (Nassau Point to Starboard)-North Race (to Starboard)-Finish.

 

For each of these three courses, I have worked out the appropriate start times, based on PHRF ratings (adjusted for golf handicaps, where applicable).  Tomorrow, on the water, one of two things will happen.  Either:

  1. Based on the prevailing wind at ~4.30pm, I will choose one of these three courses.  Whichever course I choose, your start time will be determined from one of the three columns below.  There are separate tables for Cruising Canvas and Spinnaker
  2. There won’t be enough wind to race and we will abandon…….   L

The lists below should include any/every boat likely to show up and race.  If a boat shows up that isn’t in this list, I will give them their start time when they check in on the water.

 

Ideally, I would love it if you could write down the 3 possible start times for your own boat and take those times with you.  I can confirm start times from the RC but it would be very nice if I don’t have to tell every single boat its start time……

 

‘Hopeful’ has told me she is racing and Simpatico and Shadow (they are often the highest-rated boats in our races) have told me they are NOT.   So all start times are geared to Hopeful’s 5.05pm start. 

 

I have included golf handicaps for the boats that placed in the July 4th race last Saturday (they are all in red).  That’s why the three Alerions start at slightly different times despite having the same rating.

 

See you on the water.

Peter

 

CRUISING CANVAS

COURSE F  8NM

COURSE C  6.5NM

COURSE ‘X’  4.8NM

BOAT NAME

START TIME



HOPEFUL

5:05:00



SIMPATICO

5:06:36



SECOND WIND

5:11:24



TRUE LOVE

5:12:44



SEA BREEZE

5:12:12



THING O BEAUTY

5:13:56



IRIS

5:14:04



CALLI

5:15:24



BELLATRIX

5:15:48



FIRST LIGHT

5:17:08



RESOLUTION

5:16:36



NO EXCUSES

5:17:40



BREEZIN

5:17:48



VIII + VI

5:18:12



SHAMROCK

5:18:12



BACK BEAT

5:18:12



SILENT PASSAGE

5:20:20



WINDSONG

5:19:56



TIDELINES

5:20:20



GLEAM

5:19:32



OPTIMISTIC

5:19:32



SEA ROSE

5:19:32



TRUE BLUE

5:22:04



ZOOP!

5:24:12



LUNATIC FRINGE

5:24:36



ZEUS

5:24:52



SKILLIGALEE

5:24:52



FASTER PUSSYCAT

5:24:52



HOCUS POCUS

5:24:52



OSPREY

5:25:08



ENTROPY

5:25:32



$ BILL

5:25:56



CORROSOL

5:26:44



TRADING PLACES

5:27:48



BELLA

5:28:44



GRACIOUS

5:29:16

BOAT NAME

START TIME



HOPEFUL

5:05:00



SIMPATICO

5:06:18



SECOND WIND

5:10:12



TRUE LOVE

5:11:17



SEA BREEZE

5:10:51



THING O BEAUTY

5:12:15



IRIS

5:12:22



CALLI

5:13:27



BELLATRIX

5:13:46



FIRST LIGHT

5:14:51



RESOLUTION

5:14:25



NO EXCUSES

5:15:17



BREEZIN

5:15:24



VIII + VI

5:15:43



SHAMROCK

5:15:43



BACK BEAT

5:15:43



SILENT PASSAGE

5:17:27



WINDSONG

5:17:08



TIDELINES

5:17:27



GLEAM

5:16:48



OPTIMISTIC

5:16:48



SEA ROSE

5:16:48



TRUE BLUE

5:18:52



ZOOP!

5:20:36



LUNATIC FRINGE

5:20:55



ZEUS

5:21:08



SKILLIGALEE

5:21:08



FASTER PUSSYCAT

5:21:08



HOCUS POCUS

5:21:08



OSPREY

5:21:21



ENTROPY

5:21:41



$ BILL

5:22:00



CORROSOL

5:22:39



TRADING PLACES

5:23:31



BELLA

5:24:17



GRACIOUS

5:24:43

BOAT NAME

START TIME



HOPEFUL

5:05:00



SIMPATICO

5:05:57



SECOND WIND

5:08:50



TRUE LOVE

5:09:38



SEA BREEZE

5:09:19



THING O BEAUTY

5:10:21



IRIS

5:10:26



CALLI

5:11:14



BELLATRIX

5:11:28



FIRST LIGHT

5:12:16



RESOLUTION

5:11:57



NO EXCUSES

5:12:36



BREEZIN

5:12:40



VIII + VI

5:12:55



SHAMROCK

5:12:55



BACK BEAT

5:12:55



SILENT PASSAGE

5:14:12



WINDSONG

5:13:57



TIDELINES

5:14:12



GLEAM

5:13:43



OPTIMISTIC

5:13:43



SEA ROSE

5:13:43



TRUE BLUE

5:15:14



ZOOP!

5:16:31



LUNATIC FRINGE

5:16:45



ZEUS

5:16:55



SKILLIGALEE

5:16:55



FASTER PUSSYCAT

5:16:55



HOCUS POCUS

5:16:55



OSPREY

5:17:04



ENTROPY

5:17:19



$ BILL

5:17:33



CORROSOL

5:18:02



TRADING PLACES

5:18:40



BELLA

5:19:14



GRACIOUS

5:19:33

 


 

SPINNAKER DIVISION

COURSE F  8NM

COURSE C  6.5NM

COURSE ‘X’  4.8NM

BOAT NAME

Start

 

SEA BREEZE

5:13:32



CALLI

5:17:32



FIRST LIGHT

5:17:56



NO EXCUSES

5:18:20



VIII+Vi

5:19:08



SHAMROCK

5:19:08



BACKBEAT

5:19:08



ZOOP!

5:24:44



LUNATIC FRINGE

5:25:08



ENTROPY

5:25:24



SKILLIGALEE

5:25:56



PUSSYCAT

5:27:08



HOKUS POKUS

5:26:20



$ BILL

5:26:20



OSPREY

5:26:28



CORROSOL

5:27:08



TRADING PLACES

5:29:08



BELLA

5:29:56



GRACIOUS

5:30:36

BOAT NAME

Start



SEA BREEZE

5:11:56



CALLI

5:15:11



FIRST LIGHT

5:15:30



NO EXCUSES

5:15:50



VIII+Vi

5:16:29



SHAMROCK

5:16:29



BACKBEAT

5:16:29



ZOOP!

5:21:02



LUNATIC FRINGE

5:21:21



ENTROPY

5:21:34



SKILLIGALEE

5:22:00



PUSSYCAT

5:22:59



HOKUS POKUS

5:22:20



$ BILL

5:22:20



OSPREY

5:22:26



CORROSOL

5:22:59



TRADING PLACES

5:24:36



BELLA

5:25:15



GRACIOUS

5:25:48

BOAT NAME

Start



SEA BREEZE

5:10:07



CALLI

5:12:31



FIRST LIGHT

5:12:45



NO EXCUSES

5:13:00



VIII+Vi

5:13:28



SHAMROCK

5:13:28



BACKBEAT

5:13:28



ZOOP!

5:16:50



LUNATIC FRINGE

5:17:04



ENTROPY

5:17:14



SKILLIGALEE

5:17:33



PUSSYCAT

5:18:16



HOKUS POKUS

5:17:48



$ BILL

5:17:48



OSPREY

5:17:52



CORROSOL

5:18:16



TRADING PLACES

5:19:28



BELLA

5:19:57



GRACIOUS

5:20:21

 



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